The good track in Melbourne ensured yet another win for How To Win with Hey Doc winning at odds of $3.40 with $3.80 being available in some quarters.
In the Australian Guineas at Flemington in Melbourne Hey Doc is rated to win.
Last week saw the year begin successfully with Black Heart Bart winning at official odds of $1.95 ($2 was available in some quarters).
Black Heart Bart should kick off the year for us with a win in the Futurity at Caulfield in Melbourne. Hopefully there will be odds of $2 available.
A fractional profit on turnover for spring still resulted in a more than acceptable overall profit for 2016.
Despite predicting the quinella in both the Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate in the interests of statistical honesty we heed our own advice against betting on feature handicaps.
Thus, a Cox Plate quinella dividend of $2.20 (New South Wales tote) plus only one other investment during spring resulted in a profit on turnover for 2016 of 38.18%: a more than acceptable result for the year just passed.
How To Win has again illustrated the benefits of a conservative investment strategy in maximising long-term profitability.
…And as we are are wont to say the best is yet to come as we continue to strive for perfection in punting.
How To Win again expects to find the winner of the Winterbottom Stakes in Perth with Malaguerra rated clearly on top.
The markets provide reliable pointers to the main chances in the three main spring Group Ones: the Caulfield Cup, the Cox Plate and the Melbourne Cup.
The best of the locals in the Caulfield Cup is Jameka while the best of the foreign runners is Scottish.
The Cox appears to be a match in two between Winx and Hartnell with Hartnell a good show of backing up in the Melbourne Cup.
However, How To Win does not include feature handicaps in our statistical overviews as these races are lotteries in which one should bet with caution.
Sacred Elixir is rated on top: each way, all day.
1st August is the horses’ birthday and the beginning of a new racing season. Let us reflect on the successes of the past twelve months as we prepare for those ahead.
Season 2015-16 provided nine top-rated runners for How To Win. These nine in turn included four winners at average odds of $3.50.
Thus, How To Win showed a profit on turnover of 55.56% based on flat/level stakes investment: an outstanding result.
However, we make so bold as to commence the new season confident the best is yet to come.
New South Wales Premier Mike Baird has made a unilateral decision to ban greyhound racing throughout the state as of 1st July next year.
This decision was made without consulting parliament. It was delayed until after the federal election to ensure there was no backlash against the coalition at the federal level in the knowledge it would be an unpopular decision. Any attempted ban is therefore open to legal challenge as well as being blatantly cynical and opportunistic in nature.
Recommendations from Justice Michael McHugh’s enquiry into the greyhound industry were largely ignored as reference to the complete shutting down of the industry rated only one mention from a total of eighty recommendations.
All industries must be allowed to regulate their own affairs.
The greyhound industry provides yet another example of the failure of government to protect Australian business. Unlike what has occurred with our manufacturing and rural sectors the closure of the greyhound industry would not even benefit the coalition’s mates who own the foreign-based multinational corporations which have for decades been allowed to quarry our country. The attempt to ban dog racing is therefore a particularly populist action by a tinpot dictator exploiting well-meaning but misplaced community sentiment which has been manipulated to selectively oppose perceived cruelty to animals.
From five runners rated to win and at odds of $2 or better there were two winners for a profit on turnover of 72%. This is despite employing antepost odds of $4.20 for Capitalist when $10 was bet on the day.
How To Win’s conservative long-term approach continues to provide results about which most punters (including most professionals) can only dream.